Saturday, September 4, 2010

Predicting the American League Playoff Race


After finishing up the National League earlier in the week, now it's time to look at the American League.

AL West: Texas Rangers
I really can't see any way the Rangers do not win the division in 2010. The A's are a distant 8 games back in second place, and the Angels even further at 10.5 games back. Josh Hamilton has returned to his MVP-type hitting, leading the team with a .362 batting average and 31 HR. The RBI leader has been free agent pickup Vladimir Guerrero, who came over from the Angels in the offseason. Guerrero has shown that he still can hit, and he has provided the Rangers with another threat alongside Hamilton, Nelson Cruz, and Michael Young. The pitching is a little less stable, with mid-season acquisition Cliff Lee struggling and possibly missing a start with back injuries. Lee has been listed as questionable for a start Tuesday, and was unable to throw a bullpen session Saturday. CJ Wilson and Colby Lewis lead the team in the major pitching categories, and Rich Harden is off the DL and has looked pretty good so far. Neftali Feliz is looking like a definite AL Rookie of the Year candidate with his 34 saves in 37 opportunities. Overall, while the Rangers may have some questions regarding the rotation, barring a complete collapse, I think the Rangers will cruise into their first postseason since 1999.

AL Central: Minnesota Twins
The Twins have had a stellar year in the AL Central, and with a 79-57 record, they are 3.5 games up on the second place Chicago White Sox. Joe Mauer has carried the offense, and Delmon Young is having a breakout season knocking in 93 RBI. Justin Morneau was placed on the 60-Day DL with a concussion, but with Jason Kubel and Jim Thome, they are making up for the loss of Morneau's power. Carl Pavano has been the surprise leader in wins for Minnesota, accumulated 15 so far this season. Francisco Liriano is having an impressive season with a 3.27 ERA and 178 strikeouts. He has thrown a career high 165.1 innings so far (his most prior to this year was 136.2). They have a pretty decent schedule going into September, playing Kansas City twice, Cleveland twice, Oakland once, Toronto once, Detroit once, and a big series against the White Sox starting September 14. The Twins are a very good team, and are definitely in the hunt for another postseason birth.

AL East New York Yankees
The Yankees have been battling it out with the Rays for most of the year, and have barely pulled away now with a 2.5 game lead over Tampa. Robinson Cano is having a brilliant season, with a .318 batting average, 26 HR and 91 RBI. Mark Teixeira has 30 HR and 99 RBI, and the team has been going without Alex Rodriguez, who was placed on the 15-day DL with a calf injury. He may be activated Sunday, the first day of his eligibility. C.C. Sabathia has been great for the Yankees, with 19 wins, a 3.02 ERA, and 165 strikeouts. Phil Hughes was an All-Star this year, but has struggled in the second half. The Yankees have a pretty tough schedule in September, playing Baltimore twice, Texas once, Tampa Bay twice (one is a 4 game series), Boston once, and Toronto once. The Texas and Tampa series are very important, and Boston is dangerous, but they are pretty much out of both the wild card and division races.

AL Wild Card: Tampa Bay Rays
The Rays definitely have a shot at winning the division, but if they lose to the Yankees in that race, I don't see them failing to win the wild card. Carl Crawford is hitting .298, and Evan Longoria has 19 HR and 90 RBI. David Price is having a remarkable season, with 16 wins, a 2.92 ERA, and 161 strikeouts. Matt Garza has been good in the rotation, while Jeremy Hellickson, Wade Davis and Jeff Niemann have had their moments in the rotation. Joaquin Benoit and Rafael Soriano have helped out in the bullpen for Tampa. Soriano has 41 saves to only 2 blown saves. The Rays definitely have the talent to make the playoffs, it seems like it's more a question of whether they win the division or the wild card.

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